Predicting the Path of Technological Innovation: SAW vs. Moore, Bass, Gompertz, and Kryder The new Step and Wait (SAW) model predicts the path of a new technology better than Moore's law, Kryder's law, the Gompertz model, the Bass model, or other traditional models; results show that these traditional laws and models do not generalize across markets, and none holds for all technologies even in a single market